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 Irish Petrol Price Indicator


Energy prices account for over 10% of the Irish CPI and tend to be much more volatile than the other components. Petrol and diesel are the most visible of these prices and  , in what is largely a competitive retail market for motor fuel,  are determined by a number of factors, including; 

The price of Crude oil 

The euro/ dollar exchange rate 

Refinery margins 

The Tax component 

The degree of local competition 

We have developed a model of the average retail price of fuel in Ireland, based on movements in the US dollar price of Brent, the euro/ dollar exchange rate, the tax components and the wholesale price of fuel. It is designed to give an indication of the average price of petrol per litre over the next week to 10 days. Local competitive factors  will obviously generate a range of prices around the average level. 


Latest Update  22 March 2018

Crude prices are being supported by an OPEC agreement to cut production, and demand is also rising given the broad global economic upturn,although US supply has also increased in response to higher prices. Brent has traded in a broad $63- $68 range in recent months  and has moved to the upside of late.The euro/ dollar exchange rate had appreciated, offsetting this impact to some degree, but is now  moving in a $1.23 -$1.25 range.  Wholesale prices are moving up again and we expect  Irish  petrol prices to average around  €1.36 per litre, with diesel at €1.27

 Projected Irish Petrol price:  €1.36 per litre

 Projected Irish Diesel price :€1.27 per litre